Straight from Options Alert today, they announced that AEGR has the highest IV of any trading optionable stock. The stock is at 14.17 as of the close of today. Right now, you can sell a Oct 15 call for $2.55. That is some serious implied volatility. So why the IV? Because the FDA is meeting on October 17th and October 18th to debate the risks and benefits of two experimental drugs..one of which is from AEGR. Here's a chart:
So how does one play this? I bought the stock and sold a call...a covered call position as it is known in the options world. My main risk is that the FDA announces something negative and the stock gaps down. The FDA is meeting on the 17th and 18th and the option expires on the 18th, so I'm betting that either good news is released early or no news is released prior to expiration. The ideal situation will be for the stock to trade up to the $15 area by next Wednesday and be able to cover the call after some loss of time value and hopefully some loss of IV. We'll see. This is one of those longer shot trades that you don't want to allocate too much to, but it's just attractive enough to nibble on. I'll post an update on it next week.
TLT
So how does one play this? I bought the stock and sold a call...a covered call position as it is known in the options world. My main risk is that the FDA announces something negative and the stock gaps down. The FDA is meeting on the 17th and 18th and the option expires on the 18th, so I'm betting that either good news is released early or no news is released prior to expiration. The ideal situation will be for the stock to trade up to the $15 area by next Wednesday and be able to cover the call after some loss of time value and hopefully some loss of IV. We'll see. This is one of those longer shot trades that you don't want to allocate too much to, but it's just attractive enough to nibble on. I'll post an update on it next week.
TLT
No comments:
Post a Comment