Site Meter The Lawyer Trader: Take a Look at the EuroDollar Index over 3 Month Libor

Thursday, September 15, 2011

Take a Look at the EuroDollar Index over 3 Month Libor

This is an interesting indicator. Much like the TED spread and a handful of others, it tends to give good indications of whether the market is likely to move higher or lower. Nothing is perfect, but the short term interest rate markets are usually quick to move when something is anticipated in the market. Take a look at the chart, and notice the crosses on the moving averages:
I chose to use the word "anticipate" rather than signal because that's what I use this for.  It's not a signal in and of itself, it's a tool that helps gauge the likely overall direction of the market.  So why the 3 Month Libor instead of 1 Month? No special reason, you could use 1 Month Libor..the 3 Month is a little smoother when plotted with the EuroDollar. (*Note this is the EuroDollar market that is made up of dollar deposits in other countries..this has nothing to do with the Euro Currency in the forex market).

Something interesting to watch and keep on your radar. Hope everyone is managing the volatility..it's a wild one right now.

TLT

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