This morning I was short the Eur/Usd pair (yikes) and luckily I caught the reversal signals that my system gave shortly before the jobless claims were announced...although I suffered a small bout of insanity and racked up some losses due to emotional impulse trading between the two major economic releases this morning...will probably post on this later when I have more time because it was a textbook case of getting emotional and over trading. Long story short, I calmed down, got control of myself and I put on two very good trades in the Eur/Usd and GBP/Usd that ended up making enough to cover my losses and give me a small profit for the morning. Like I said, I'll probably post a play-by-play breakdown later tonight because emotional impulse trading is a very common pitfall among short term traders...one that can be lethal if you let it get out of hand.
On a brighter note, my stock watch list has brought a couple of interesting trend trading candidates to my attention. One is ANW (see below) and another good looking stock is ARA. This stock has started to break out of a nice rounded base and is strongly trending upward. It would be nice to see a slight pullback and then a new breakout to form a "cup and handle" breakout.
A couple of noteworthy factors in the above chart are the up-trending on balance volume that is setting new short-term highs, the higher moving MACD and the low level of the BB Width. It would be nice to the BB width breakout and start making new 2 month highs. If I were going to play this stock here, I would either wait for a pullback and buy a new breakout, or buy half my position here and then wait for a pullback and then a subsequent breakout to add to the position. With a strong trend in place along with good relative strength, ARA is certainly worth keeping a close eye on.
Good luck out there.
TLT
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